AI x Trades · Cycle playbook
Grow hard in expansion. Preserve in the pullback.
Buy-and-hold works. Rotating with the cycle can work better — if you allocate correctly at peaks and troughs. Combine AI market signals with a simple, repeatable rotation.
The loop
Five moves, then repeat
- 01Trough→ Index ETFs
When fear peaks, accumulate broad-market ETFs. Diversification absorbs the volatility while prices are discounted.
- 02Reversal confirmed→ Blue chips
Once higher highs and higher lows confirm the turn, rotate ETF positions into quality blue chips with more room to run.
- 03Expansion→ Blue chips + crypto
Let winners compound. A measured crypto sleeve adds the highest upside of the cycle.
- 04Peak→ Cash + gold
Offload blue chips into cash and gold. Protect gains instead of riding them back down.
- 05Local consolidation→ Back to ETFs
When the pullback base-builds, deploy cash back into ETFs. Repeat the loop.
Risk ladder
Know what you're holding
Blue chips carry more risk than ETFs — but in expansion, that risk is paid. In drawdowns the order flips: ETFs, gold and cash are where you want to be after the market has peaked.
Where AI helps
Phase detection
Track breadth, moving averages, yield curve and sentiment to label the current phase instead of guessing.
Confirmation, not prediction
Wait for a confirmed reversal before rotating. AI filters noise; you still pull the trigger.
On-chain signals
Stablecoin supply growth and exchange flows flag liquidity heading into crypto.